Saturday, March 8, 2025

Ladder Prediction 2025

My 2024 ladder was slightly better than 2023.

Some general thoughts about it:

  • Carlton started well but injuries killed them, was a nightmare finals game for them
  • Brisbane was a good call
  • I was way off with Collingwood, they were just too unreliable last year
  • I bombed with Adelaide, they had hype but didn't deliver
  • Sydney were the best team all year then chocked in the granny
  • I said this about Melbourne

there's some concerns about their team culture and leadership

and it came true, they had a terrible year for the list they have

  • GWS were very strong and could have won the flag
  • Gold Coast clearly have the list to make finals, they just need to be less flaky
  • Essendon started well but bombed out
  • Richmond was very bad, didn't realise how bad they would be
  • Hawthorn were the surprise packet, they were fantastic in the finals
  • Bulldogs have a great list, the finals performance was also very poor (like Carlton)
  • Geelong were way better than I thought they would be, they will also be kicking themselves and could have won the flag (like GWS)
  • Port Adelaide clung on last year, maybe this year will be when Ken will finally get the sack

Here's my ladder for the 2025 premiership season.

  1. Collingwood
  2. Fremantle
  3. Brisbane
  4. Hawthorn
  5. Carlton
  6. Gold Coast
  7. North Melbourne
  8. Essendon
  9. St Kilda
  10. GWS
  11. Adelaide
  12. Sydney
  13. Geelong
  14. Melbourne
  15. Port Adelaide
  16. Western Bulldogs
  17. West Coast
  18. Richmond

My logic for it is as follows:

  • Collingwood have a stacked forward (Tim Membrey seems like a fantastic recruit), they're even better off half back with Houston, and Daicos will only get better in the midfield, I just get the feeling Collingwood will be very strong, even with injuries we should be able to replace guys
  • Fremantle are the hype team this year, they've recruited well (Shai Bolton should be amazing) and a lot of young players coming in to their prime have signed new contracts, they basically should never lose games in Perth
  • Brisbane have basically the same team (minus Joe Daniher) and added the theoretical number 1 draft pick (Will Ashcroft), seems like a good formula to be good again, they might lack a bit of hunger late in the season
  • Hawthorn are just very very good team, they will get a bit more figured out this year though
  • Carlton again have a fantastic list and spine of players, but they have a lot of injuries and can be flaky
  • I'm a Gold Coast ride or die person, it's a good list and Dimma will have them playing good football
  • My surprise and big riser this year is North, they have a lot of good players who will get some wins on the board, they will be the Hawthorn of last year
  • Essendon will play finals, it'll be an up and down year but they will just scrape in
  • Any team from 9 - 14 could play finals, Sydney, Geelong and GWS are the ones that are obviously good enough to be anywhere in the 8, I just don't rate them that highly
  • Port and the Doggies will drop off this year, both coaches will get sacked
  • West Coast will be a little better but still be pretty bad
  • Richmond will just plain suck

Grand Final: Collingwood vs Fremantle

Premier: Collingwood

I tipped them last year and they let me down. Praying this is the year. It's a proper poker hand all in with how they've recruited.